Nate Cohn, a correspondent focusing on polling and demographics for the Upshot, the New York Times’ data-driven news vertical, said that candidates most strongly aligned with Trump can expect to draw support from a solid base of 35 percent to 37 percent of the general electorate in November. While Democrats are a house divided, the GOP “is becoming a party of one person,” Nagourney said. “The amount of authentic, organic female energy on the Democratic side is huge, and I think this is an example of it,” she said. Haberman, who covers the White House, added that it is notable that the candidate who beat Crowley is a woman. Bernie Sanders campaigned on in 2016, and traditionalists symbolized by Crowley. “If I was a moderate Democrat facing a primary, I would be really scared,” said Nagourney, the newspaper’s Los Angeles bureau chief, referencing the split in the Democratic Party between the left-leaning wing that embraces the views that Vermont Sen. Joe Crowley, a 10-term congressman who was considered a possible replacement for Democratic House Leader Nancy Pelosi, was toppled Tuesday by newcomer Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the New York Democratic primary. Nearly 400 people filled Korn Convocation Hall at the UCLA Anderson School of Management for “The Midterm Elections 2018: Prospects for Los Angeles, California and the Nation,” which featured Times journalists Alex Burns, Nate Cohn, Maggie Haberman and Adam Nagourney.įresh evidence of political turmoil had come in just before the event started, when U.S. That was the assessment of national political reporters from The New York Times during a panel presentation held at UCLA on June 26. President Trump is not on the ballot in 2018, but his ascendance and reverberations from the 2016 presidential election will dominate congressional races across the country in November.
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